Another poll has Mississippi Democrats within striking distance of the governor’s mansion

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Ashton Pittman

As Trump’s unpopularity drags Republicans down nationwide, a new poll shows a Democrat could become Mississippi’s next governor.
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For the second time since last month, a poll of Mississippi voters finds Mississippi Attorney General Jim Hood – a Democrat – in striking distance of winning a bid for governor if he were to go up against Republican Lt. Governor Tate Reeves next year.
Reeves would lead Hood by just over 7 points if the election were held today, according to a Millsaps College/Chism Strategies survey. But with 20 percent undecided, Republicans have little reason to remain confident that they will hold the office.
If Democrats – energized over opposition to Trump and the Trump-era GOP – turn out in higher numbers  than usual in 2019, that bodes even better for Hood. The Millsaps Poll is weighted based on 2015 turnout – a time when Republicans were the more energized party.
The new poll bolsters the findings of a close election in a Mason-Dixon Poll in December, which found Hood leading Reeves by 6 points.
Hood draws support from 10.5 percent of Republican voters, but Reeves draws half that from Democrats.
An average of the two polls gives Reeves a slim 0.6 point lead.
Mississippi Governor 2019: Jim Hood v. Tate Reeves
Mississippi Democratic Attorney General Jim Hood v. Republican Lt. Governor Tate Reeves.

DatesPollsterHood (D)Reeves (R)Result Weighted Overall Average

Dec. 13-15, 2017Mason Dixon4337Hood +6Hood 40.3

Reeves 37

Result:Reeves +0.6

Dec. 15-19, 2017Millsaps College/Chism Strategies37.544.7Reeves +7.2

Though Mississippi voters won’t choose a new governor until 2019, the prospect of such a close election is noteworthy. In 2015, Mississippi Governor Phil Bryant beat his Democratic opponent by 34 points. In 2011, Bryant was elected by a nearly 22-point margin.
No Democratic candidate for governor has cracked 40 percent of the statewide vote in Mississippi since 2007, and the last time a Democrat lost by

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